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| #798299 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:03 PM 25.Aug.2015) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015 0300 UTC WED AUG 26 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANGUILLA AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ST. MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. MAARTEN. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANGUILLA * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MONTSERRAT * ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA * ST. KITTS AND NEVIS * GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY * PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 54.4W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 54.4W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 53.6W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.4N 56.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.0N 60.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.8N 63.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.8N 66.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N 70.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 25NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N 78.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 54.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
