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| #800029 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 01.Sep.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 26.6W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N 28.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N 30.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.5N 31.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.1N 33.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.8N 36.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N 38.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N 40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 27.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
