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#801101 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 05.Sep.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 2100 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 42.5W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 42.5W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 42.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.5N 43.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.6N 43.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 28.5N 40.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.5N 37.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 32.5N 34.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 32.5N 32.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 42.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |