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#801694 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 08.Sep.2015) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015 500 AM AST TUE SEP 08 2015 ...GRACE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 41.0W ABOUT 1360 MI...2185 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Grace was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 41.0 West. Grace is moving toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours. Grace is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today, and become a remnant low by Wednesday night. Grace could also degenerate to a tropical wave during the next few days. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |