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| #803471 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 25.Sep.2015) TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 500 PM AST FRI SEP 25 2015 Not much has changed today and resilient Ida is still there. It consists of a tight swirl of low clouds with a curved convective band to the east of the center. The initial intensity is estimated at 25 kt. The overall circulation is expected to decay as the depression continues to move within an environment of high shear and dry air. The depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low in about 24 hours or sooner. The center has been moving toward the northwest at about 5 kt. A high pressure system is forecast to develop over the North Atlantic, and this high will force the shallow depression, or its remnants, to move toward the northwest, and then, as the high to the north intensifies, a sharp turn to the west or southwest should occur Sunday night or Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/2100Z 22.5N 45.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 26/0600Z 23.5N 46.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 26/1800Z 24.5N 47.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/0600Z 25.0N 47.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1800Z 24.6N 48.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1800Z 23.5N 51.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/1800Z 22.6N 54.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila |
