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| #803674 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:38 PM 29.Sep.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 0300 UTC TUE SEP 29 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 70.4W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 70.4W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 70.2W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 26.9N 71.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 27.1N 72.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 27.2N 72.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 27.4N 73.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 28.6N 74.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 32.4N 74.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 38.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 70.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
