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| #805271 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 04.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 1500 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.8W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT.......160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 420SE 300SW 600NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.8W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 67.1W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 32.8N 65.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.8N 64.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.6N 62.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.4N 58.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 42.3N 45.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 46.4N 29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 51.4N 19.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 66.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
