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#805725 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 05.Oct.2015) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JOAQUIN ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 1100 PM AST MON OCT 05 2015 ...JOAQUIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.8N 62.7W ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM NNE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Joaquin was located near latitude 36.8 North, longitude 62.7 West. Joaquin is moving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). The hurricane should accelerate while turning toward the east-northeast during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Joaquin is anticipated to become an extratropical cyclone on Wednesday. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect Bermuda and portions of the Bahamas during the next day or so. Swells are affecting much of the east coast of the United States and the coast of Atlantic Canada and should continue during the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Even though Joaquin is located well to the east of the coast of the United States, a prolonged period of elevated water levels and large waves will affect the mid-Atlantic region, causing significant beach and dune erosion with moderate coastal flooding likely. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Landsea |