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| #806106 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 07.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 1500 UTC WED OCT 07 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 45.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 30 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 140SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT.......150NE 210SE 240SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 420SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 45.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 47.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 41.8N 39.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 42.6N 32.1W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 43.5N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 180SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 44.2N 21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 43.5N 15.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 42.5N 11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 45.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
