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| #806171 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 07.Oct.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 2100 UTC WED OCT 07 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.5N 41.0W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 32 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 160SE 140SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 270SE 270SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 420SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.5N 41.0W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 43.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 42.0N 35.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 42.7N 28.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 270SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 43.6N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...300NE 280SE 240SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 43.8N 19.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 250SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 43.0N 14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 180SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 41.5N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.5N 41.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
