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#813769 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:39 AM 09.Nov.2015) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 1000 AM EST MON NOV 09 2015 ...KATE STRENGTHENS SOME MORE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 75.3W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM ENE OF CAT ISLAND ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kate was located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 75.3 West. Kate is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Kate is forecast to pass near or over portions of the central Bahamas during the next few hours and near or over portions of the northwestern Bahamas this afternoon and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over portions of the central Bahamas for the next few hours and will spread over portions of the northwestern Bahamas this afternoon. RAINFALL: Kate is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Bahamas through tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM EST. Next complete advisory at 400 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Stewart |