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| #813807 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:52 PM 09.Nov.2015) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 100 PM EST MON NOV 09 2015 ...KATE MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.9N 75.7W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ESE OF ELEUTHERA ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM SE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM EST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kate was located near latitude 24.9 North, longitude 75.7 West. Kate is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Kate is forecast to move away from the central Bahamas this afternoon, and pass near or over portions of the northwestern Bahamas by late afternoon and tonight. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) north of the center. A ship located just east of Kate's center recently reported sustained winds of at least 45 mph (75 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the northwestern Bahamas later this afternoon and tonight. Tropical storm conditions will be diminishing over the central Bahamas later this afternoon. RAINFALL: Kate is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas through tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Kate are affecting the eastward-facing beaches in the central and northwestern Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Stewart |
