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| #8443 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:58 AM 15.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004 ...JEANNE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...PASSING JUST SOUTH OF ST. CROIX... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM... SOUTHWEST OF ST. CROIX. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. UNCONFIRMED REPORTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 58 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 88 MPH...HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM AN ELEVATED LOCATION ON ST. CROIX. ADDITIONALLY...A SHIP RECENTLY REPORTED WINDS OF 45 MPH JUST NORTHWEST OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER LOCATION. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...17.5 N... 65.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN |
