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| #8482 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 15.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004 ...JEANNE APPROACHING PUERTO RICO...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABREERA SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABRERA TO PUERTO PLATA. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. AT 11 AM AST...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM WEST OF ST. CROIX. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE OVER PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY AND NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...POSSIBLY SUSTAINED AT HURRICANE FORCE...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING PUERTO RICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THERE WAS AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT FROM ST. CROIX OF A WIND GUST OF 96 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 300 FEET DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. ST. CROIX HAS REPORTED 7 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR DURING JEANNE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...17.8 N... 65.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN |
