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#858251 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 29.May.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 500 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 ...BONNIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE IT MOVES NORTHWARD... ...SIGNIFICANT RAINS AFFECTING MUCH OF EASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.1N 79.4W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Edisto Beach South Carolina southwestward to the Savannah River. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Edisto Beach to Little River Inlet South Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 79.4 West. Bonnie is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Bonnie is expected to move near the coast in the warning area later today. A slow northeastward motion near the central and northern coast of South Carolina is expected by tonight and on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours, followed by slow weakening on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly to the northwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches from central and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border, and 1 to 3 inches farther north across southeastern North Carolina. Heavy rain is expected to develop well north of Bonnie's main circulation into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region and the Northeast with total accumulations of 1 to 2 inches through Monday and isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast within the warning area later this morning or afternoon. STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the next high tide this afternoon. SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado is still possible through this afternoon over the immediate South Carolina coastal region. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |