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| #858785 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 04.Jun.2016) TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1100 AM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 Bonnie appears to be weakening. The small burst of deep convection that occurred overnight has been shrinking, and the system is now devoid of significant thunderstorm activity. Based on the degraded structure of the system, the initial wind speed has been lowered to 30 kt, making Bonnie a tropical depression once again. The depression is over cold water and in a high wind shear environment. Since these environmental conditions are not expected to change, Bonnie is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by tonight. The remnant low will likely open into a trough within the next couple of days. The small cyclone is moving eastward at about 12 kt in the mid-latitude westerlies. An eastward to east-southeastward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected until Bonnie dissipates. Little change was made to the previous track prediction, and the official forecast lies close to a consensus of the GFS and ECMWF models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/1500Z 35.6N 66.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0000Z 35.1N 64.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 05/1200Z 34.6N 60.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/0000Z 34.1N 57.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |
