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| #8711 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:04 AM 16.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST THU SEP 16 2004 ...JEANNE NEARING NORTHEAST COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM LA PLATA SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM WEST OF PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO MONTE CRISTO AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA... AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. AT 5 AM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.1 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES ...15 KM...EAST OF CABO ENGANO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC OR 270 MILES... 435 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS JEANNE HUGS THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY MEASURED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 989 MB...29.20 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE SUBSIDING ALONG THE COASTLINE OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED MORE THAN A FOOT OF RAIN...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...WITH NAGUABO IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND HAVING RECEIVED MORE THAN 20 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO. MANY RIVERS ON PUERTO RICO ARE ALREADY AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...18.8 N... 68.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN |
