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| #871603 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 05.Aug.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 05 2016 ...EARL BEATEN BY HIGH TERRAIN BUT STILL DRENCHING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 94.2W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ciudad del Carmen westward to Laguna Verde, Mexico. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 94.2 West. Earl is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. On the forecast track, Earl will move inland into the Mexican state of Veracruz later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is anticipated before landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on a ship observation is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will spread westward across the warning area today and tonight. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over portions of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Puebla, Tabasco and Veracruz through Saturday morning with possible isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila |
