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| #873762 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 02.Sep.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 500 AM EDT FRI SEP 02 2016 ...HERMINE WEAKENING WHILE MOVING FARTHER INLAND... ...LIFE-THREATENING SURGE AND FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 83.6W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warning and the Hurricane Watch have been discontinued. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of Indian Pass. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Englewood to Indian Pass * Flagler/Volusia County line to Duck * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Duck to Sandy Hook * Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward * Southern Delaware Bay Interests elsewhere along the United States northeast coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hermine was located inland near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 83.6 West. Hermine is moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine should continue to move farther inland across southeastern Georgia today and into the Carolinas tonight and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast while Hermine moves farther inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. Valdosta, Georgia recently reported a wind gust of 53 mph (85 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin within the warning area along the Atlantic coast later today, and spread northward through the weekend. Wind in the tropical storm warning area along the Gulf coast of Florida should gradually diminish today. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will continue to cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation within the next 12 to 24 hours along the Gulf coast of Florida from Indian Pass to Longboat Key. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow any instructions, including evacuation orders, from local officials. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Destin to Indian Pass...1 to 3 feet Indian Pass to Ochlockonee River...4 to 7 feet Ochlockonee River to Yankeetown...6 to 9 feet Yankeetown to Aripeka...4 to 7 feet Aripeka to Longboat Key...including Tampa Bay...2 to 4 feet Longboat Key to Bonita Beach...1 to 3 feet Florida-Georgia line to Tidewater of Virginia...1 to 3 feet The Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. This prototype graphic is available at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over the southeastern United States from northwest Florida through southern and eastern Georgia into South Carolina and eastern North Carolina, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. These rains may cause life-threatening floods and flash floods. Heavy rain could reach the coastal Mid-Atlantic states from Virginia to New Jersey beginning early Saturday. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this morning across northern Florida and southern Georgia. The tornado risk will spread across the eastern Carolinas later today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila |
