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#874165 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 05.Sep.2016) TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1100 PM EDT MON SEP 05 2016 ...HERMINE SLOWLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.6N 70.7W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSE OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor * New Haven to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 70.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). Hermine is expected to become nearly stationary on Tuesday before turning toward the northeast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The Montauk Point buoy south of Long Island recently report a 43 mph (69 km/h) sustained wind and a gust to 54 mph (87 km/h). The minimum central pressure recently observed from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread over portions of the warning area tonight and Tuesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor...1 to 2 feet RAINFALL: Hermine will produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across eastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and the offshore islands, through Wednesday. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea/Brown |