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| #875260 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 18.Sep.2016) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 500 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016 ...JULIA NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.3N 78.0W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina should monitor the progress of Julia. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Julia was located near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 78.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north is forecast to occur tonight, and that motion is expected to continue into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to be near the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina by Monday afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The interaction of Julia with a weak cold front pushing slowly eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches across eastern portions of the Mid-Atlantic region northward into eastern New York and southern New England through Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches will be possible, especially over portions of eastern North Carolina northward into parts of eastern Virginia, eastern Maryland, Delaware, and southern New Jersey. These amounts could result in localized flooding or flash flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
