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| #8754 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:35 AM 16.Sep.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 56A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004 ...IVAN SPREADING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS INLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA TO YANKEETOWN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE. AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA. IVAN IS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ACROSS ALABAMA IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD SPREAD INLAND UP TO ABOUT 150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA... THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AREA...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...31.6 N... 87.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA/FRANKLIN |
