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#875506 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 AM 21.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1100 AM AST WED SEP 21 2016 ...KARL REMAINS DISORGANIZED WHILE MOVING MORE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 57.8W ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 905 MI...1455 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Karl. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Karl was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 57.8 West. Karl is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected by this evening, and that motion should continue through early Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, but some strengthening is expected on Thursday. Dropsonde data from the NASA/NOAA Global Hawk indicate that the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg/Gallina/Veenhuis |