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| #875551 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 21.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1100 PM AST WED SEP 21 2016 ...NOAA JET DATA INDICATES THAT KARL IS POORLY ORGANIZED... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 59.6W ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Karl. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Karl was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 59.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn toward the north is expected Thursday night or Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Data from the NOAA G-IV jet indicates that the circulation of Karl is currently poorly organized. However, conditions appear conducive for slow strengthening during the next couple of days, and Karl could regain tropical storm intensity on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
