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#875785 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:40 AM 24.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 800 AM AST SAT SEP 24 2016 ...CENTER OF KARL STARTING TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.2N 63.7W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 63.7 West. Karl is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with a steady increase in forward speed. On the forecast track, Karl will continue to move away from Bermuda today. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Karl is expected to become a hurricane by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over Bermuda through this morning. RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through today. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda this morning. SURF: Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are expected to increase during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan |