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#875854 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 24.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1100 PM AST SAT SEP 24 2016 ...KARL ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.0N 58.0W ABOUT 435 MI...695 KM ENE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 35.0 North, longitude 58.0 West. Karl is moving toward the northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Karl is expected to be at hurricane intensity when it becomes a post-tropical cyclone on Sunday. The post-tropical cyclone will be absorbed by a large extratropical low Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Karl will continue affecting Bermuda through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |