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#875875 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 25.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 500 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2016 ...KARL RACING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.5N 53.5W ABOUT 635 MI...1025 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 37.5 North, longitude 53.5 West. Karl is moving toward the northeast near 46 mph (74 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through today. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Karl is expected to be at hurricane intensity when it becomes a post-tropical cyclone later today. The post-tropical cyclone will be absorbed by a large extratropical low tonight or early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |