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| #877310 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:01 PM 07.Oct.2016) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH...FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO SURF CITY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * NORTH OF FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 80.5W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 80.5W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 80.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N 79.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.6N 77.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.9N 75.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 27.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 26.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 80.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
