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| #877344 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 08.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 65.6W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 190 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 80SE 70SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 65.6W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 65.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.2N 65.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.7N 65.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.8N 65.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N 65.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N 66.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 32.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 65.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
