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| #877393 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 AM 08.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 65.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 190 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 65.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 65.7W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.6N 65.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.2N 65.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.8N 65.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N 66.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.3N 66.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 33.4N 64.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 65.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
