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#877466 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 08.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0300 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.7W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.7W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 65.7W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N 65.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.4N 65.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.2N 65.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.3N 65.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 120SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.0N 66.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 120SE 70SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 34.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 65.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |