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| #877664 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 10.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 2100 UTC MON OCT 10 2016 THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 65.4W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......140NE 140SE 70SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 65.4W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 65.3W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 65.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N 66.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.2N 66.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.5N 66.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.2N 64.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 120SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 38.1N 58.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 42.0N 54.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 65.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
