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| #877926 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 13.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC THU OCT 13 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 65.8W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 55SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 210SE 420SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 65.8W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 66.2W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.7N 64.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 55SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 34.8N 61.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 55SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.4N 57.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 30SE 55SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.7N 53.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 260SE 240SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.0N 49.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 140SW 180NW. 34 KT...340NE 240SE 310SW 380NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 38.5N 49.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 40.5N 47.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 65.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
