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| #877978 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 13.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 2100 UTC THU OCT 13 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 63.2W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......130NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 420SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 63.2W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 63.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N 60.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 55SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.4N 56.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.8N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.8N 50.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 160SW 160NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.0N 48.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...360NE 270SE 300SW 380NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 39.6N 46.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 42.0N 41.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 63.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
