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| #878000 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 13.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 PM AST THU OCT 13 2016 ...NICOLE WEAKENING AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...SWELLS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST AND INTO ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 61.2W ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 61.2 West. Nicole is moving toward the east-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday. An east- northeastward motion at a slower forward speed is expected on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 12 to 24 hours, but Nicole is expected to remain a powerful cyclone even when it could become a post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will continue to affect Bermuda and the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward for the next couple of days. Swells from Nicole will begin to affect the coastline of Atlantic Canada on Friday and continue into the weekend. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan |
