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#878068 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 14.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 PM AST FRI OCT 14 2016 ...NICOLE CONTINUING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... ...COULD BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT OR SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.5N 55.7W ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 36.5 North, longitude 55.7 West. Nicole is moving toward the east-northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with a gradual decrease in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours. However, Nicole could become a post-tropical cyclone tonight or on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will continue to affect Bermuda and the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward for the next couple of days. Swells from Nicole will begin to affect the coastline of Atlantic Canada tonight and continue into the weekend. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |