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| #878088 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 14.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0300 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 53.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT.......210NE 210SE 255SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..220NE 450SE 540SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 53.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 54.1W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.2N 51.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.6N 48.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.7N 47.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.0N 46.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 300SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 42.1N 43.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 50.5N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 58.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N 53.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
