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| #878205 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 16.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC SUN OCT 16 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 47.7W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW. 34 KT.......360NE 330SE 300SW 420NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 540SE 720SW 660NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 47.7W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 48.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.3N 46.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 390NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 40.2N 45.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N 43.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 46.5N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...480NE 420SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 56.6N 36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 420NW. 34 KT...540NE 420SE 420SW 600NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.2N 47.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
