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| #878302 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 17.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 AM AST MON OCT 17 2016 ...NICOLE GENERATING HIGH SURF OVER LARGE PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.0N 45.2W ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 41.0 North, longitude 45.2 West. Nicole is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through late today. A north-northeastward motion at an even faster forward speed is forecast on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Nicole is expected to produce hurricane-force winds through Tuesday. However, Nicole should lose its tropical characteristics by Tuesday as well. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda, the United States east coast, the coast of Atlantic Canada, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands for the next several days, creating dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. These swells are also likely to reach Europe and the northwest coast of Africa in a couple of days. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
