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| #8817 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:42 PM 16.Sep.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 57A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004 ...IVAN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AS IT WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED WEST OF THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER TO APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA. IVAN IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. MAXWELL AIR FORCE BASE NEAR MONTGOMERY ALABAMA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 MPH WITH A GUST TO 53 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN ALABAMA... THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE... WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...32.6 N... 87.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
