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| #8848 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 16.Sep.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 58 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004 ...IVAN WEAKENING OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IVAN THROUGH NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA OR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE EARLY FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IVAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN ALABAMA... NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...33.1 N... 87.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
