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#904183 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 22.Sep.2017) TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS * CENTRAL BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 120SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 71.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.3N 71.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.9N 72.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.8N 72.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.7N 72.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 71.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 71.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |