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| #9042 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 17.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 2100Z FRI SEP 17 2004 AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI IS DISCONTINUED. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS ...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 71.8W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 71.8W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 71.6W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.7N 74.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.8N 74.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 29.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 29.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 29.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 71.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
