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| #9043 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 17.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004 AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI IS DISCONTINUED. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS ...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND ABOUT 100 MILES... 160 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS JEANNE MOVES OVER WATER. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING ALONG THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF JEANNE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICE. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...20.2 N... 71.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
