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| #904465 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 24.Sep.2017) TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 0300 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 73.0W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 73.0W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 72.9W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.8N 73.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.9N 73.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 33.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.9N 73.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 35.2N 72.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 36.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 38.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 73.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
