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| #904808 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 27.Sep.2017) TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF OCRACOKE INLET. THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF OCRACOKE INLET. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCRACOKE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO DUCK A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 72.6W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 160SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 360SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 72.6W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 72.8W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.1N 72.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.7N 67.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 0NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.7N 62.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 200SE 200SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 42.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 110SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 240SE 210SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 50.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 72.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
