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| #9143 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:54 PM 18.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004 ...JEANNE ON A WEAKENING TREND AGAIN... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS... MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD THIS MORNING WHEN IT APPEARED THAT JEANNE WAS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...UNEXPECTEDLY...SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CENTER BECAME DETACHED FROM THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z ...THE APPARENT CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST... JUST WEST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS. HOWEVER...THIS POSITION IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AND IF A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CONFIRMS THIS LOCATION... JEANNE MAY BE WEAKER THAN INDICATED AT THIS TIME. THE CENTER OF JEANNE APPEARS TO BE MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. STRENGTHENING IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JEANNE. CURRENTLY THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE OCCURRING WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...21.0 N... 74.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
