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| #9165 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 18.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004 ...JEANNE REFORMS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS... MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 75 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND VERY NEAR THE CAICOS ISLANDS. JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JEANNE. CURRENTLY THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE OCCURRING WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...22.0 N... 72.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
