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| #9217 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 19.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 0900Z SUN SEP 19 2004 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS PLANS TO DISCONTINUE ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS EFFECTIVE AT 6 AM EDT...1000Z. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 72.5W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 72.5W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 72.3W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.1N 72.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.5N 72.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.0N 71.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.0N 70.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 27.0N 70.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 26.0N 70.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 26.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 72.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH |
