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#927575 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:53 PM 28.May.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Alberto Intermediate Advisory Number 15A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018 700 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018 ...WEAKENING ALBERTO MOVING FARTHER INLAND... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.9N 86.1W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM N OF DEFUNIAK SPRINGS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning west of the Okaloosa/Walton County line to the Alabama/Florida border has been discontinued. The Storm Surge Watch from the Aucilla River to Mexico Beach has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Aucilla River to the Okaloosa/Walton County line For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto was located near latitude 30.9 North, longitude 86.1 West. The storm is moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). A faster northward to north-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Alberto will move over Alabama later tonight and early Tuesday. The system is forecast to move over the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday and into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast as Alberto moves farther inland, and Alberto is expected to become a subtropical depression later tonight, and degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday afternoon. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Alberto is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Tuesday: The Florida panhandle across eastern and central Alabama and western Georgia...4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches. The Florida Keys and Florida peninsula...Additional 1 to 2 inches, isolated 5 inches. Rest of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley into the lower mid Atlantic from Tennessee east through the Carolinas...2 to 6 inches. Flooding and flash flooding are possible in the southeast United States, including Florida. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the warning area for the next few hours. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northeast Gulf of Mexico coast are receding, and will continue to do so overnight. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible through tonight over parts of Georgia and southeast Alabama. SURF: Swells generated by Alberto will continue to affect the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For more information, consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |